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Searched for: Statistical Topic is Probability -- Elementary Probability -- General Rules -- Conditional Probability
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View Resource Bayesian Calculator

This page uses Bayes' Theorem to calculate the probability of a hypothesis given a datum. An example about cancer is given to help users understand Bayes' Theorem and the calculator. Key Word: Conditional Probability.
View Resource Time-Axis Fallacy and Bayes Theorem

This site provides an outline of an activity for introducing Bayes' Theorem and conditional probability.
View Resource Poem: Why Richard Cory Offed Himself

This poem, by North Carolina State University Emeritus Professor of Physics Jasper D. Memory (1935 - ) is designed to teach the difference between the probability of having a disease given a positive screening test and the probability of a positive test result given you have the disease. The poem was published in the October, 2007 issue of Mathematics Magazine volume 80 p. 273,
View Resource Cartoon: Thomas Jefferson's Motivation

A cartoon to teach ideas of conditional probability. Cartoon by John Landers ( based on an idea from Dennis Pearl (The Ohio State University). Free to use in the classroom and on course web sites.
View Resource Quote: Machol on Coincidences

"Most accidents in well-designed systems involve two or more events of low probability occurring in the worst possible combination." is a quote by American systems engineering expert Robert E. Machol (1917 - 1998). The quote is found in his 1975 column "Principles of Operations Research" for the journal Interfaces vol. 5, pages 53-54 (this column was titled "The Titanic Coincidence."
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